Podium Prophets
Időmérős alap
2.3
Verseny alap
2.5

Autó jellemzők

Qualifying Pace
2.3
Race Pace
2.5
Peak Downforce
3.9
High-Speed Corners
2.5
Low-Speed Corners
2.8
Straight-Line Speed
2.5
Active Aero Efficiency
2.5
Tyre Degradation Mgmt
3.2
Traction
2.2
Braking Stability
2.8
Ride Quality
1.8
Energy Recovery
1.8
Reliability
1.3

Aston Martin is facing a genuine car crisis. The AMR26 has produced attributes that rank at or near the worst on the grid in almost every measurable dimension. Energy recovery, ride quality, and reliability are all in serious trouble, and the race pace reflects it. This is not a car that is slightly off the pace. It is a car that is fundamentally misconfigured for the 2026 regulations. Alonso's driver offset is the team's single meaningful performance asset, and it is doing extraordinary work to produce any results at all.

Részletes elemzés

The reliability numbers demand attention for anyone predicting Aston Martin finishes. A car with reliability rated at the bottom of the field will fail to finish races at a frequency that no other team matches, and those mechanical retirements cannot be anticipated from track position or session pace. Energy recovery is the worst on the grid, which in 2026's hybrid formula means the car is surrendering time on every straight on every lap. The compounding nature of that deficit makes it particularly damaging. It is not a one-sector problem, it is a whole-lap problem.

Alonso's offset is, in raw numerical terms, comparable to world-champion-level extraction, which means he is doing everything possible with a broken tool. His qualifying performances occasionally produce grid positions that seem disconnected from race pace reality, and his racecraft converts those positions into the best possible finishing result, but the car's limitations always reassert themselves over a full race distance. Stroll's near-zero offset ensures his results closely match what the car is capable of without driver intervention. For Aston Martin, the most useful prediction framework is: Alonso will consistently outperform the car's rating, Stroll will not, and both will face mechanical retirement risk that is higher than any other team.

Fejlesztési idővonal

Round 0Pre-Season
2.8

Pre-season baseline — Honda PU crisis, catastrophic testing programme

race Pace 0.0traction -2.5quali Pace 0.0reliability -3.2ride Quality -3.0peak Downforce -1.2energy Recovery -3.0low Speed Corners -1.8tyre Degradation -1.8braking Stability -1.7high Speed Corners -1.7straight Line Speed -2.5active Aero Efficiency -1.8

By far the worst pre-season of any team. Honda PU suffered persistent and unresolved issues: 'abnormal vibrations' with root cause not identified (The Race), battery pack shaking, power deficit, and efficiency shortfall. Only 334 total laps across both Bahrain tests — worst of any team. Completed just 6 laps on the final day due to lack of spare parts (The Race, ESPN). Drivers reported extreme vibrations transmitted to the chassis raising safety fears — ESPN reported concerns about 'permanent nerve damage' to Alonso and Stroll. reliability rated 1.8 — catastrophically low, lowest single attribute in the entire grid. rideQuality 2.0 due to the vibration issue. energyRecovery 2.0 reflecting Honda PU being 'down on power and efficiency' (PlanetF1). Honda themselves said 'we are not happy with our performance and our reliability.' peakDownforce rated 3.8 — highest of Aston Martin's attributes — because Adrian Newey's AMR26 aero design is theoretically competent but completely untested due to severe running limitations. AMR26 was described as 'too slow and very difficult to drive' (The Race). Honda co-signed the joint letter to the FIA protesting Mercedes' compression ratio loophole, but Honda's own PU issues are far more immediate than the Mercedes rivalry.

Australian Grand PrixBaseline
2.5

Round 1 baseline — Honda PU crisis continues, nerve damage concerns, both cars effectively DNF

race Pace +0.5traction -0.3quali Pace +0.3reliability -0.3ride Quality 0.0peak Downforce 0.0energy Recovery -0.2low Speed Corners -0.4tyre Degradation 0.0braking Stability -0.5high Speed Corners -0.8straight Line Speed 0.0active Aero Efficiency -0.7

Honda PU vibrations (ICE + MGU) so severe drivers limited to ~25 laps (Alonso) / ~15 laps (Stroll) to avoid permanent nerve damage. Stroll: 'like electrocuting yourself on a chair.' Only 2 working batteries. Alonso zero FP1 laps, P17 in Q1, retired L21. Stroll no quali time, P17 (+15 laps). Race pace 86.387 (+2.889) with worst degradation on grid (positive 0.16). Newey: 'the chassis is the receiver.' Sources: Motorsport.com, The Race, GPFans, Formula1.com.

Chinese Grand PrixWeekend Final
2.4

Round 2 — double DNF continues, Alonso vibration crisis, Honda battery failure

race Pace -0.5quali Pace -0.1reliability -0.3ride Quality -0.3

Second consecutive double DNF. Stroll's battery failure on lap 10 triggered the Safety Car — first Honda PU-failure of 2026, tagged 'monitoring'. Alonso retired lap 34 with vibrations so severe he lost feeling in his hands and feet — direct rideQuality evidence. 3.946s race pace deficit is worst of any team with representative laps. Honda PU crisis continues to overshadow Newey's chassis design. Sources: Formula1.com, The Race, Motorsport.com, GPFans.

Japanese Grand PrixWeekend Final
2.4

Round 3 — Alonso completes first full race, Stroll DNF continues, new front wing + floor

race Pace -0.3quali Pace -0.4reliability +0.1ride Quality +0.1peak Downforce +0.1

Alonso completed first full race distance with Honda PU — a milestone after consecutive double-DNFs. Vibrations 'more manageable' at Suzuka (rideQuality slight improvement). Stroll DNF'd lap 30 (water pressure issue). Race pace +3.668s (slowest team, behind Cadillac). Upgrades: new front wing (load shifting) + new floor (downforce gain). Worst clipping delta on grid (-60 km/h, Honda PU energy management). Sources: PlanetF1, Motorsport.com, Sky Sports, FastF1 data.

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