Kimi Antonelli

Melbourne confirmed the year-two step, but the pure baseline should stay below Russell after one weekend.

China pole and victory justify a real uplift, but the biggest move should still sit in form rather than pure baseline.

A second straight pole and win in Suzuka confirms Antonelli as the biggest positive trend on the grid after three rounds.

Antonelli's 4th consecutive race win (R2 China, R3 Japan, R6 Miami, R7 Canada — first F1 driver in history to take his first 4 wins in succession). Small +0.02 form bump, not the full +0.05, because RUS retired from a battery thermal failure (lap 30) rather than being beaten on pace — qualifying gap was only 0.068s and ANT was 2nd on raw quali pace, so the win margin to teammate is contaminated by PU luck. Trend confirmed across 4 race weekends, sized conservatively.

Monaco pole + lights-to-flag grand slam (5th win in 6). Unlike R7, the teammate margin was clean - ANT outqualified RUS by 0.394s on pace (RUS P6) and led every lap, so the +0.05 form bump withheld at R7 (RUS PU-contaminated) is now justified. Sized as form, not baseline - the surge still reads as a hot streak; revisit baseline if it persists.

Silverstone pole + sprint win (youngest sprint winner ever) + fastest race lap while recovering from the lap-41 wheel-shield failure; out-qualified Russell by 0.370s - fourth consecutive clean weekend leading the team, championship lead 25 points. The R8 note said 'revisit baseline if it persists' - it has (R9 pole streak, R10 P3 + fastest lap, R11 pole + sprint win), so the +0.1 moves into baseline rather than form. Value 0.94 -> 1.04.